Tropical Watches Warnings Advisories
Expires:No;;496057
WTNT35 KWNH 022059
TCPAT5
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 37 FOR THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052006
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 02 2006
...REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD...
FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND
NEW JERSEY.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF PENNSYLVANIA AND
WESTERN NEW YORK.
WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...CONNECTICUT...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...AND VERMONT.
AT 5 PM EDT SATURDAY...21Z...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT OF ERNESTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST OR
20 MILES NORTHWEST OF BALTIMORE MARYLAND.
THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO HAVE CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTH SATURDAY AND
A NORTHWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 10 MPH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...HOWEVER THE
STRONGER WINDS ARE CONFINED TO OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND NEAR
COASTAL AREAS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB OR 29.83
INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY
...FLORIDA...
ROCK ISLAND 6.74
IMMOKALEE 5.96
MOORE HAVEN 4.74
KISSIMMEE 4.28
LEHIGH ACRES 4.16
LAKE WALES 3.85
OCHOPEE 3.78
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
MT PLEASANT 6.82
MYRTLE BEACH 6.20
MCCLELLANVILLE 6.35
DANIEL ISLAND 4.50
SURFSIDE BEACH 4.05
CONWAY MARINA 4.00
...NORTH CAROLINA...
GRIFTON 9.85
CAPE FEAR RIVER 9.71
WILMINGTON 9.58
KINSTON 9.57
SNOW HILL 8.40
NEW RIVER NCAS 8.06
WALLACE 8.00
TRANTERS CREEK 7.57
LONGWOOD 7.23
GREENVILLE 7.13
RICHLANDS 7.06
...VIRGINIA...
VIRGINIA BEACH 10.43
UPPER SHERANDO 10.11
NORFOLK 10.00
WILLIAMSBURG 9.51
LITTLE PLYMOUTH 9.25
CHESAPEAKE 8.93
TOANO 8.73
DEVILS KNOB 8.56
CONCORD 8.54
JAMESTOWN 8.25
APPLE ORCHARD 8.23
CHINCOTEAGUE 8.00
GWYNN ISLAND 8.00
...WEST VIRGINIA...
ELLISON RIDGE 3.20
MARTINSBURG 3.08
RIPLEY 2.50
SPENCER 2.48
RACINE 2.43
CHARLES TOWN 2.33
TORNADO 2.12
...MARYLAND...
LEONARDTOWN 10.08
CHARLOTTE HALL 8.48
BRANDYWINE 7.54
SNOW HILL 7.19
HOLLYWOOD 6.92
PRINCE FREDERICK 6.81
SALISBURY 6.80
HOLLYWOOD 6.13
PRINCESS ANNE 5.90
BALTIMORE 5.00
...DELAWARE...
JONES CROSSING 4.76
GEORGETOWN 4.51
REDDEN 4.35
BRIDGEVILLE 3.98
BETHANY BEACH 3.61
PRIME HOOK 3.59
HARBESON 3.34
DOVER 2.82
KITTS HUMMOCK 2.81
BLACKBIRD 2.77
...PENNSYLVANIA...
PINDLETON 4.36
FRYBURG-MARBLE 4.04
ANSONVILLE 3.92
WILLIAMSPORT 3.38
LILLY 3.32
DAUPHIN 3.22
DECATUR 3.16
HEPBURNVILLE 3.16
LONELY ACRES 3.16
CROWN 3.04
KRISLUND CAMP 3.00
PORT ROYAL 2.90
ALTOONA 2.90
SELLINSGROVE 2.86
HARRISBURG 2.73
...NEW JERSEY...
CHATSWORTH 3.33
WOODBINE 2.66
ESTELLE MANOR 2.52
FORSYTHE 2.48
HAMMONTON 2.43
ATLANTIC CITY 2.37
MCQUIRE AFB 2.25
MOUNT HOLLY 2.20
NEW LISBON 2.05
ATSION 2.00
...NEW YORK...
EAST WOODHULL 1.78
TUSCARORA 1.52
JASPER 1.44
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
WESTERN NEW YORK STATE AND PENNSYLVANIA...TO THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND STATES THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT SATURDAY POSITION...39.4 NORTH...AND 76.9
WEST...NORTHWARD MOVEMENT NEAR 10 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT
40 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 11 PM EDT SATURDAY. REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING
THIS SYSTEM.
TRIMARCO
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 02/2100Z 39.4N 76.9W
12HR VT 03/0600Z 41.3N 77.5W
24HR VT 03/1800Z 43.6N 77.7W
36HR VT 04/0600Z 45.1N 76.7W...OVER CANADA
'$$
Expires:No;;496887
ABNT20 KNHC 022132
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO...OVER MARYLAND.
A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PREVIOUSLY OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IS
NOW OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY
IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD
BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT
1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10
MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
A NEW AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 750 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Expires:No;;464763
WTNT45 KNHC 011428
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 01 2006
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT ERNESTO HAS WEAKENED
AND IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO AND A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
THE NORTH IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS WELL TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE COAST. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT
12 KNOTS AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
IT SHOULD THEN BECOME ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM. THIS WILL BE
THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE ON ERNESTO.
FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT35 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/1500Z 36.4N 77.6W 30 KT
12HR VT 02/0000Z 38.0N 77.5W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/1200Z 40.0N 78.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 03/0000Z 41.5N 78.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 03/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
