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The Sports Report Ranking System

The Sports Report Ranking System calculates the percentage of games that a team would win over time, based on past performance, were it to play an average schedule.

Note: David Rothman's FACT rankings are now available from The Sports Report Home Page.

The Sports Report
Pro Football Rankings
(TSRRS v59 using records only)
through games of February 3, 2008

National Football League

Rank 12/30 Team (Record)       Rating Sch
  1)   (1) New England (18-1)    .939  10
  2)   (2) Dallas (13-4)         .828   3
  3)   (6) NY Giants (14-6)      .808   1
  4)   (4) Green Bay (14-4)      .800   8
  5)   (3) Indianapolis (13-4)   .774  11
  6)   (5) San Diego (13-6)      .750   7
  7)   (7) Jacksonville (12-6)   .682  12
  8)   (8) Washington (9-8)      .647   4
  9)   (9) Philadelphia (8-8)    .633   2
 10)  (10) Tennessee (10-7)      .598  16
 11)  (11) Minnesota (8-8)       .585   9
 12)  (13) Chicago (7-9)         .556   5
 13)  (12) Detroit (7-9)         .554   6
 14)  (14) Houston (8-8)         .515  17
 15)  (15) Tampa Bay (9-8)       .502  23
 16)  (18) Seattle (11-7)        .500  27
 17)  (16) Denver (7-9)          .495  13
 18)  (17) Pittsburgh (10-7)     .474  28
 19)  (19) Cleveland (10-6)      .462  32
 20)  (21) Buffalo (7-9)         .436  18
 21)  (20) Carolina (7-9)        .432  20
 22)  (22) New Orleans (7-9)     .412  24
 23)  (23) Arizona (8-8)         .380  30
 24)  (24) Cincinnati (7-9)      .323  31
 25)  (25) Kansas City (4-12)    .316  14
 26)  (26) Oakland (4-12)        .311  15
 27)  (27) Atlanta (4-12)        .275  21
 28)  (29) San Francisco (5-11)  .256  29
 29)  (28) Baltimore (5-11)      .255  26
 30)  (30) NY Jets (4-12)        .239  22
 31)  (31) St. Louis (3-13)      .176  25
 32)  (32) Miami (1-15)          .087  19

The schedules of all teams were interconnected after the games of Sunday, September 23, 2007.

Division Rankings

Rank Division (Record)                  Rating
  1) NFC East (44-26)                     .729
  2) AFC South (43-25)                    .642
  3) NFC North (36-30)                    .624
  4) AFC West (28-39)                     .468
  5) AFC East (30-37)                     .425
  6) NFC South (27-38)                    .405
  7) AFC North (32-33)                    .378
  8) NFC West (27-39)                     .328

Biggest Upsets

Likelihood Date  Result
0.133305   9/30  Kansas City 30, SAN DIEGO 16
0.215453   2/3   NY Giants 17, New England 14
0.218492  12/16  MIAMI 22, Baltimore 16
0.234178  11/11  St. Louis 37, NEW ORLEANS 29
0.238624  10/7   Chicago 27, GREEN BAY 20
0.238624  12/23  CHICAGO 35, Green Bay 7
0.242311  11/25  CINCINNATI 35, Tennessee 6
0.245952  11/4   NEW ORLEANS 41, Jacksonville 24
0.246640   9/23  KANSAS CITY 13, Minnesota 10
0.250485  11/25  Minnesota 41, NY GIANTS 17
0.254062  12/23  SAN FRANCISCO 21, Tampa Bay 19
0.258294  11/18  NY JETS 19, Pittsburgh 16
0.263028   9/30  ATLANTA 26, Houston 16
0.263138  12/16  Philadelphia 10, DALLAS 6
0.274671  12/30  ATLANTA 44, Seattle 41
0.275131  12/30  WASHINGTON 27, Dallas 6
0.275243  12/30  BALTIMORE 27, Pittsburgh 21
0.296461  12/2   Buffalo 17, WASHINGTON 16
0.302995  12/16  Washington 22, NY GIANTS 10
0.303672  12/30  Tennessee 16, INDIANAPOLIS 10
0.315462  12/2   OAKLAND 34, Denver 20
0.319637  11/4   MINNESOTA 35, San Diego 17
0.330618  11/11  ARIZONA 31, Detroit 21
0.330906  12/30  HOUSTON 42, Jacksonville 28
0.332534  11/11  Atlanta 20, CAROLINA 13

Retrodiction percentage: 75% (201 out of 267 games).

Predictions

Please check your local newspaper for any changes.

Predictions are provided for entertainment value only.

End of season.

Predictions are provided for entertainment value only.

Intra-Division Rankings

Division records include all games played against other division members, including tournament games.




Team           W  L Rating dW dL  

AFC East Conference
New England   18  1   .939  6  0  
Buffalo        7  9   .436  4  2  
NY Jets        4 12   .239  2  4  
Miami          1 15   .087  0  6  
 
AFC North Conference
Pittsburgh    10  7   .474  5  1  
Cleveland     10  6   .462  3  3  
Cincinnati     7  9   .323  3  3  
Baltimore      5 11   .255  1  5  
 
AFC South Conference
Indianapolis  13  4   .774  5  1  
Jacksonville  12  6   .682  2  4  
Tennessee     10  7   .598  4  2  
Houston        8  8   .515  1  5  
 
AFC West Conference
San Diego     13  6   .750  5  1  
Denver         7  9   .495  3  3  
Kansas City    4 12   .316  2  4  
Oakland        4 12   .311  2  4  
 
NFC East Conference
Dallas        13  4   .828  4  3  
NY Giants     14  6   .808  4  3  
Washington     9  8   .647  3  3  
Philadelphia   8  8   .633  2  4  
 
NFC North Conference
Green Bay     14  4   .800  4  2  
Minnesota      8  8   .585  3  3  
Chicago        7  9   .556  2  4  
Detroit        7  9   .554  3  3  
 
NFC South Conference
Tampa Bay      9  8   .502  5  1  
Carolina       7  9   .432  3  3  
New Orleans    7  9   .412  3  3  
Atlanta        4 12   .275  1  5  
 
NFC West Conference
Seattle       11  7   .500  5  1  
Arizona        8  8   .380  3  3  
San Francisco  5 11   .256  3  3  
St. Louis      3 13   .176  1  5

Updated 4-February-2008.
Copyright © 2008 by The Sports Report. All rights reserved.

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