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The Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments (FACT) rankings, developed by the late Dr. David Rothman, is an implementation of Bradley and Terry's "Method of Paired Comparisons" (1952), an idea first proposed in the 1920s. Dr. Rothman's FACT rankings were an original component of the Bowl Championship Series rankings.
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
Women's College Basketball Rankings
(NCAA Division I using records and scores)
through games of April 8, 2008
(Final 2007-2008 Rankings)
NCAA DIVISION I WOMEN'S COLLEGE BASKETBALL BASED ON 5203 GAMES BETWEEN 339 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT RRE W L 1 Connecticut Big East 103.03 .889 .970 36 2 2 Tennessee SEC 98.85 .852 .961 36 2 3 North Carolina ACC 93.58 .849 .946 33 3 4 Stanford Pac-10 91.20 .822 .937 35 4 5 Maryland ACC 88.57 .803 .927 33 4 6 Louisiana State SEC 88.49 .794 .926 31 6 7 Rutgers Big East 86.89 .718 .919 27 7 8 Duke ACC 80.85 .679 .888 25 10 9 Texas A&M Big 12 80.35 .723 .885 29 8 10 Notre Dame Big East 80.19 .706 .884 25 9 11 Baylor Big 12 80.17 .735 .883 25 7 12 Old Dominion CAA 79.49 .783 .879 31 5 13 Louisville Big East 78.68 .694 .874 26 10 14 Vanderbilt SEC 78.53 .705 .873 25 9 15 Oklahoma Big 12 78.42 .665 .872 22 9 16 Oklahoma State Big 12 77.28 .720 .865 27 8 17 West Virginia Big East 76.11 .708 .856 25 8 18 Pittsburgh Big East 75.35 .646 .851 24 11 19 California Pac-10 74.93 .722 .848 27 7 20 Virginia ACC 74.56 .673 .845 24 10 21 Texas Big 12 73.78 .614 .839 22 13 22 Kansas State Big 12 72.35 .655 .827 22 10 23 Utah Mtn West 71.29 .774 .819 27 5 24 Ohio State Big Ten 71.16 .675 .817 22 9 25 George Washington Atl 10 70.82 .721 .815 27 7 26 DePaul Big East 70.76 .610 .814 20 12 27 Iowa State Big 12 70.70 .600 .814 21 13 28 Nebraska Big 12 70.57 .617 .812 21 12 29 Georgia SEC 70.51 .662 .812 23 10 30 Syracuse Big East 70.19 .667 .809 22 9 31 Marist MAAC 69.19 .812 .800 32 3 32 Arizona State Pac-10 68.46 .626 .793 22 11 33 Minnesota Big Ten 68.24 .595 .791 20 12 34 Iowa Big Ten 67.86 .617 .788 21 11 35 Georgia Tech ACC 67.44 .660 .784 22 10 36 Texas-El Paso C-USA 67.42 .765 .784 28 4 37 Purdue Big Ten 67.09 .517 .780 19 15 38 Michigan State Big Ten 67.02 .578 .780 23 14 39 Wyoming Mtn West 65.76 .694 .767 22 7 40 Marquette Big East 65.52 .575 .765 21 14 41 North Carolina State ACC 65.50 .621 .765 21 13 42 Auburn SEC 65.42 .621 .764 20 12 43 Illinois State MVC 65.13 .736 .761 26 7 44 Illinois Big Ten 65.10 .572 .760 20 15 45 Hartford Am East 64.96 .745 .759 28 6 46 Xavier (Ohio) Atl 10 64.79 .670 .757 24 9 47 Western Kentucky Sun Belt 64.57 .696 .755 26 8 48 Florida State ACC 64.51 .560 .754 19 14 49 Michigan Big Ten 64.43 .555 .754 19 14 50 UT Chattanooga So Con 64.37 .787 .753 29 4 51 Kansas Big 12 63.96 .505 .749 17 16 52 Colorado Big 12 63.49 .555 .744 19 15 53 Liberty Big South 63.49 .781 .744 26 4 54 Kentucky SEC 63.45 .498 .743 17 16 55 Texas Christian Mtn West 63.43 .649 .743 23 12 56 Wisconsin Big Ten 63.10 .541 .739 16 14 57 Indiana Big Ten 62.94 .539 .738 18 15 58 James Madison CAA 62.27 .678 .730 24 10 59 St. John's (N.Y.) Big East 62.13 .537 .729 18 15 60 Wisconsin-Green Bay Horizon 61.82 .739 .726 26 6 61 Gonzaga WCC 61.73 .692 .724 25 9 62 Texas Tech Big 12 61.67 .527 .724 17 16 63 Temple Atl 10 61.52 .583 .722 21 13 64 Boston College ACC 60.73 .590 .713 21 12 65 Middle Tennessee State Sun Belt 60.58 .633 .712 22 12 66 Florida SEC 60.52 .535 .711 19 14 67 Southern Methodist C-USA 60.28 .674 .708 24 9 68 Virginia Commonwealth CAA 60.19 .696 .707 26 8 69 Drake MVC 59.80 .640 .702 23 11 70 Southern California Pac-10 59.48 .549 .699 17 13 71 Dayton Atl 10 59.41 .672 .698 25 9 72 New Mexico Mtn West 59.21 .614 .696 20 13 73 Villanova Big East 59.18 .517 .695 17 16 74 Bowling Green MAC 58.62 .716 .689 26 8 75 Penn State Big Ten 57.95 .421 .681 13 18 76 South Florida Big East 57.81 .489 .679 16 16 77 Arkansas SEC 57.55 .561 .676 17 13 78 Georgetown (D.C.) Big East 57.55 .520 .676 15 14 79 Creighton MVC 57.52 .585 .675 21 12 80 South Carolina SEC 57.15 .511 .671 16 16 81 South Dakota State Summit 56.80 .707 .667 22 7 82 Virginia Tech ACC 56.67 .506 .665 15 15 83 Montana Big Sky 56.44 .705 .662 23 7 84 UCLA Pac-10 55.87 .515 .655 16 15 85 Mississippi State SEC 55.70 .531 .653 16 15 86 Evansville MVC 54.93 .600 .643 21 12 87 Cincinnati Big East 54.93 .438 .643 12 16 88 Mississippi SEC 54.88 .459 .643 13 16 89 Wake Forest ACC 54.63 .496 .640 15 15 90 Western Carolina So Con 54.59 .676 .639 25 9 91 Seton Hall Big East 54.55 .463 .639 13 15 92 San Diego State Mtn West 54.38 .575 .636 18 13 93 Miami (Ohio) MAC 54.37 .621 .636 23 11 94 UC Santa Barbara Big West 53.74 .656 .628 23 8 95 Arkansas-Little Rock Sun Belt 53.68 .659 .627 22 9 96 UNC Charlotte Atl 10 53.61 .551 .627 18 14 97 Boise State WAC 53.43 .679 .624 24 8 98 Fresno State WAC 53.21 .631 .621 22 11 99 Oregon Pac-10 52.38 .467 .610 14 17 100 Clemson ACC 52.35 .389 .610 12 19 101 New Mexico State WAC 52.15 .655 .607 23 9 102 Vermont Am East 51.71 .676 .602 24 9 103 Providence Big East 51.66 .425 .601 12 17 104 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Atl 10 51.66 .532 .601 17 14 105 Fairfield MAAC 51.65 .647 .601 22 9 106 San Diego WCC 51.44 .580 .598 19 13 107 Robert Morris NEC 51.42 .671 .598 23 10 108 North Carolina A&T MEAC 51.13 .715 .594 25 8 109 Arkansas State Sun Belt 50.91 .579 .591 20 12 110 Santa Clara WCC 50.85 .604 .590 20 10 111 Missouri Big 12 50.71 .353 .588 10 21 112 Murray State OVC 50.29 .685 .583 23 8 113 Towson CAA 50.17 .625 .581 22 10 114 Washington Pac-10 50.06 .432 .580 13 18 115 Indiana State MVC 49.98 .478 .579 14 15 116 Butler Horizon 49.92 .600 .578 19 10 117 Alabama-Birmingham C-USA 49.51 .477 .572 14 16 118 Ohio MAC 49.30 .584 .570 20 13 119 Portland State Big Sky 49.30 .656 .569 22 9 120 Samford OVC 49.23 .655 .569 23 9 121 Richmond Atl 10 49.18 .461 .568 14 17 122 Tulane C-USA 49.12 .528 .567 16 14 123 Boston University Am East 48.99 .599 .565 20 12 124 Oakland (Mich.) Summit 48.86 .631 .564 18 10 125 Brigham Young Mtn West 48.77 .451 .562 13 16 126 Southern Mississippi C-USA 48.69 .585 .561 20 14 127 Quinnipiac NEC 48.62 .726 .560 25 6 128 Cleveland State Horizon 48.38 .566 .557 19 13 129 Drexel CAA 47.87 .589 .550 18 12 130 St. Bonaventure Atl 10 47.74 .547 .548 18 12 131 Houston C-USA 47.73 .480 .548 15 16 132 Loyola Marymount WCC 47.70 .494 .548 15 15 133 Long Island NEC 47.62 .679 .547 24 8 134 UC Davis Big West 47.58 .590 .546 19 12 135 Duquesne Atl 10 47.52 .519 .545 15 15 136 St. Peter's MAAC 47.48 .577 .545 19 12 137 South Alabama Sun Belt 47.44 .580 .544 19 11 138 Radford Big South 47.43 .622 .544 22 12 139 Southeast Missouri State OVC 47.41 .641 .544 21 9 140 Marshall C-USA 47.39 .506 .544 17 16 141 Idaho State Big Sky 47.33 .593 .543 18 10 142 Arizona Pac-10 47.02 .367 .539 10 20 143 Davidson So Con 47.01 .590 .538 19 11 144 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Horizon 46.70 .538 .534 16 14 145 Eastern Michigan MAC 46.63 .537 .533 16 12 146 Iona MAAC 46.55 .571 .532 20 14 147 Ball State MAC 46.41 .505 .530 15 15 148 Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt 46.26 .548 .528 17 13 149 Pepperdine WCC 46.23 .423 .528 10 18 150 Texas-San Antonio Southland 46.14 .646 .526 22 10 151 St. Mary's (Calif.) WCC 46.12 .459 .526 15 17 152 East Tennessee State Atl Sun 45.92 .616 .523 21 12 153 Coppin State MEAC 45.80 .621 .522 22 12 154 Northern Iowa MVC 45.58 .435 .519 13 18 155 Oregon State Pac-10 45.49 .413 .518 11 19 156 Miami (Fla.) ACC 45.39 .372 .516 9 21 157 Missouri State MVC 45.31 .398 .515 11 19 158 Florida Gulf Coast Atl Sun 45.11 .658 .512 22 9 159 Montana State Big Sky 44.95 .552 .510 17 12 160 UNC Wilmington CAA 44.91 .517 .509 17 14 161 Massachusetts Atl 10 44.84 .454 .508 13 17 162 Texas-Arlington Southland 44.82 .610 .508 18 10 163 Cornell Ivy 44.74 .647 .507 20 9 164 Wright State Horizon 44.66 .482 .506 16 16 165 Manhattan MAAC 44.56 .525 .505 15 15 166 Oral Roberts Summit 44.47 .559 .503 18 14 167 Rice C-USA 44.37 .443 .502 14 18 168 San Francisco WCC 44.29 .472 .501 14 16 169 Nevada WAC 44.27 .575 .501 18 12 170 North Dakota State Summit 44.19 .577 .500 16 11 171 Bradley MVC 44.10 .437 .498 12 18 172 Louisiana Tech WAC 43.84 .521 .495 16 15 173 Valparaiso Horizon 43.83 .461 .495 13 16 174 Portland (Ore.) WCC 43.43 .508 .489 15 15 175 William and Mary CAA 43.26 .466 .487 14 18 176 Jacksonville Atl Sun 43.10 .663 .484 23 9 177 Florida International Sun Belt 42.99 .409 .483 12 18 178 East Carolina C-USA 42.78 .456 .480 13 17 179 Eastern Illinois OVC 42.69 .552 .479 18 13 180 UC Riverside Big West 42.51 .486 .476 14 16 181 Southern Illinois MVC 42.40 .376 .475 9 20 182 Northwestern Big Ten 42.26 .231 .473 5 26 183 Northeastern CAA 42.20 .451 .472 14 16 184 Western Michigan MAC 41.81 .444 .467 13 19 185 Texas State-San Marcos Southland 41.62 .581 .464 17 11 186 Rhode Island Atl 10 41.59 .416 .464 13 18 187 Sacred Heart NEC 41.51 .605 .462 19 11 188 Harvard Ivy 41.11 .579 .457 18 11 189 Buffalo MAC 41.05 .486 .456 15 15 190 Georgia Southern So Con 40.95 .536 .455 17 13 191 Holy Cross Patriot 40.93 .545 .454 19 13 192 Siena MAAC 40.88 .411 .454 11 18 193 Utah Valley State Ind 40.67 .518 .451 14 12 194 IUPU-Indianapolis Summit 40.50 .510 .448 17 16 195 Winthrop Big South 40.44 .575 .448 18 12 196 North Texas Sun Belt 40.44 .442 .448 12 18 197 Tulsa C-USA 40.38 .389 .447 11 20 198 Delaware State MEAC 40.35 .556 .446 17 14 199 Chicago State Ind 40.14 .512 .444 14 11 200 LaSalle (Pa.) Atl 10 40.00 .447 .442 12 17 201 American Patriot 39.73 .557 .438 18 14 202 Denver Sun Belt 39.68 .408 .437 11 19 203 Northern Illinois MAC 39.67 .385 .437 10 18 204 Canisius MAAC 39.59 .424 .436 13 18 205 Alabama SEC 39.58 .312 .436 8 22 206 Northern Colorado Big Sky 39.53 .487 .435 14 16 207 Youngstown State Horizon 39.49 .449 .435 14 17 208 New Orleans Sun Belt 39.43 .443 .434 13 17 209 Prairie View A&M SWAC 39.28 .613 .432 21 12 210 Bucknell Patriot 39.15 .505 .430 16 16 211 Loyola (Md.) MAAC 39.05 .438 .429 13 17 212 Hampton MEAC 39.00 .556 .428 18 13 213 Toledo MAC 38.94 .463 .427 14 16 214 Army Patriot 38.74 .560 .424 17 12 215 St. Louis Atl 10 38.34 .388 .419 10 20 216 SUNY-Albany Am East 38.27 .466 .418 13 18 217 Lehigh Patriot 37.99 .558 .414 18 13 218 Troy State Sun Belt 37.59 .423 .409 12 18 219 Western Illinois Summit 37.57 .457 .408 12 16 220 Weber State Big Sky 37.40 .430 .406 11 16 221 Wichita State MVC 37.29 .323 .405 9 22 222 Illinois-Chicago Horizon 36.92 .369 .400 10 20 223 Eastern Kentucky OVC 36.83 .493 .398 13 14 224 Hawaii WAC 36.79 .431 .398 12 18 225 Dartmouth Ivy 36.77 .474 .398 15 16 226 Kennesaw State (Ga.) Atl Sun 36.70 .559 .397 16 12 227 Air Force Mtn West 36.36 .325 .392 8 19 228 Maryland-Eastern Shore MEAC 35.94 .561 .387 17 13 229 Nevada-Las Vegas Mtn West 35.87 .317 .386 8 22 230 Cal Poly Big West 35.73 .430 .384 13 19 231 Morgan State MEAC 35.56 .580 .381 19 12 232 High Point Big South 35.50 .462 .381 13 15 233 Cal State Bakersfield Ind 35.45 .441 .380 11 16 234 SUNY-Binghamton Am East 35.43 .410 .380 11 19 235 Charleston (S.C.) So Con 35.30 .472 .378 14 16 236 Kent State MAC 35.16 .357 .376 9 21 237 Delaware CAA 35.05 .307 .375 7 24 238 Central Florida C-USA 35.01 .394 .374 10 20 239 IUPU-Fort Wayne Summit 34.82 .413 .372 11 18 240 George Mason CAA 34.64 .328 .369 9 21 241 Memphis C-USA 34.48 .362 .367 10 20 242 Coastal Carolina Big South 34.27 .480 .364 12 12 243 Longwood (Va.) Ind 34.18 .525 .363 16 13 244 Morehead State OVC 33.83 .389 .359 10 19 245 Northern Arizona Big Sky 33.15 .358 .350 10 20 246 Loyola (Ill.) Horizon 33.09 .302 .349 7 23 247 Lamar Southland 32.87 .521 .346 16 13 248 Niagara MAAC 32.55 .330 .342 8 22 249 Pacific (Calif.) Big West 32.52 .466 .342 13 15 250 Cal State Fullerton Big West 32.51 .388 .342 11 19 251 Belmont Atl Sun 32.44 .451 .341 13 16 252 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 32.41 .447 .340 13 17 253 Jackson State SWAC 32.38 .521 .340 18 14 254 Tennessee State OVC 32.20 .445 .338 13 17 255 Central Michigan MAC 32.14 .298 .337 6 23 256 Utah State WAC 32.05 .361 .336 9 20 257 Akron MAC 32.03 .284 .335 7 24 258 Lafayette Patriot 31.94 .479 .334 14 16 259 Stephen F. Austin Southland 31.86 .447 .333 12 17 260 Washington State Pac-10 31.58 .225 .330 5 25 261 Maryland-Baltimore County Am East 31.26 .345 .326 9 21 262 Missouri-Kansas City Summit 31.14 .377 .324 10 20 263 Elon So Con 30.97 .418 .322 11 20 264 Georgia State CAA 30.91 .315 .321 8 22 265 Rider MAAC 30.81 .333 .320 8 22 266 Monmouth (N.J.) NEC 30.76 .400 .319 11 20 267 Jacksonville State OVC 30.72 .384 .319 11 19 268 Furman So Con 30.66 .361 .318 9 20 269 Hofstra CAA 30.57 .256 .317 5 25 270 Florida Atlantic Sun Belt 30.47 .258 .316 5 22 271 Yale Ivy 30.27 .379 .313 9 18 272 Long Beach State Big West 30.25 .358 .313 9 20 273 Tennessee Tech OVC 29.75 .344 .307 8 22 274 Detroit Horizon 29.41 .261 .303 6 24 275 Alabama A&M SWAC 29.15 .488 .300 14 14 276 UNC Asheville Big South 28.98 .402 .298 11 18 277 Louisiana-Lafayette Sun Belt 28.89 .281 .297 6 22 278 New Jersey Tech Ind 28.59 .392 .293 10 19 279 SUNY-Stony Brook Am East 28.53 .324 .292 8 23 280 Maine Am East 28.25 .292 .289 7 23 281 Gardner-Webb Atl Sun 28.23 .434 .289 12 18 282 Appalachian State So Con 27.83 .316 .284 8 22 283 Wofford So Con 27.42 .346 .279 9 21 284 North Florida Atl Sun 27.42 .445 .279 13 16 285 Columbia Ivy 27.38 .393 .279 10 18 286 Northwestern State Southland 27.28 .468 .278 12 14 287 Texas-Pan American Ind 26.99 .358 .274 9 18 288 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Southland 26.98 .395 .274 12 20 289 St. Francis (N.Y.) NEC 26.76 .370 .272 10 20 290 New Hampshire Am East 26.64 .301 .270 7 22 291 Colorado State Mtn West 26.61 .208 .270 4 28 292 Florida A&M MEAC 26.36 .459 .267 13 17 293 Campbell Atl Sun 26.30 .423 .266 12 18 294 Mount St. Mary's (Md.) NEC 26.16 .328 .265 8 22 295 UC Irvine Big West 25.68 .305 .259 7 24 296 David Lipscomb Atl Sun 25.61 .323 .259 9 22 297 UNC Greensboro So Con 25.55 .264 .258 6 24 298 Sacramento State Big Sky 25.44 .248 .257 6 22 299 Austin Peay OVC 25.38 .280 .256 6 23 300 Arkansas-Pine Bluff SWAC 25.10 .398 .253 12 19 301 Savannah State Ind 24.31 .392 .244 10 15 302 Southern SWAC 24.22 .448 .243 12 16 303 Princeton Ivy 23.99 .302 .241 7 23 304 South Carolina State MEAC 23.73 .467 .238 13 17 305 Wagner NEC 23.63 .304 .237 7 22 306 Pennsylvania Ivy 23.40 .289 .234 7 22 307 Navy Patriot 23.18 .305 .232 7 23 308 St. Francis (Pa.) NEC 22.61 .277 .226 6 23 309 Alcorn State SWAC 22.56 .424 .226 12 18 310 Southeastern Louisiana Southland 22.50 .418 .225 10 17 311 Stetson Atl Sun 22.39 .340 .224 9 21 312 Southern Utah Summit 22.33 .215 .223 5 24 313 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 21.74 .402 .217 10 16 314 Alabama State SWAC 21.73 .395 .217 11 18 315 McNeese State Southland 21.57 .335 .216 10 21 316 UT Martin OVC 20.77 .253 .208 5 25 317 Idaho WAC 20.04 .219 .201 4 25 318 Charleston Southern Big South 19.52 .263 .195 6 22 319 Eastern Washington Big Sky 18.46 .193 .186 2 25 320 San Jose State WAC 18.09 .205 .182 3 28 321 Central Connecticut State NEC 17.91 .214 .181 4 25 322 Texas Southern SWAC 17.82 .317 .180 7 20 323 Fordham Atl 10 16.77 .129 .171 0 29 324 Mercer Atl Sun 16.00 .217 .164 4 26 325 Central Arkansas Southland 15.36 .274 .159 6 21 326 Nicholls State Southland 15.04 .273 .156 5 21 327 South Carolina-Upstate Atl Sun 14.26 .209 .150 4 24 328 Cal State Northridge Big West 13.78 .149 .146 1 26 329 Centenary Summit 12.66 .186 .138 3 25 330 Brown Ivy 12.32 .161 .135 2 26 331 Bethune-Cookman MEAC 9.81 .250 .118 5 23 332 Howard MEAC 8.52 .209 .110 4 26 333 Presbyterian (S.C.) Ind 7.98 .109 .106 1 23 334 Colgate Patriot 6.28 .109 .096 1 29 335 North Carolina Central Ind 5.97 .145 .095 1 13 336 Sam Houston State Southland 4.79 .106 .088 1 28 337 Norfolk State MEAC 4.64 .189 .088 3 23 338 Grambling State SWAC 3.20 .146 .080 1 24 339 Winston-Salem State (N.C.) MEAC 0.60 .156 .069 3 23 LN(5203-339+1)*2 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY) 1 Colorado State Mtn West 60 Utah Mtn West 52 .108 2 UCLA Pac-10 69 Stanford Pac-10 56 .154 3 Alabama A&M SWAC 67 UT Chattanooga So Con 63 .209 4 Nevada-Las Vegas Mtn West 62 George Washington Atl 10 61 .235 5 Sam Houston State Southland 72 Western Illinois Summit 69 .245 6 Middle Tennessee State Sun Belt 67 Louisiana State SEC 56 .246 7 Charleston Southern Big South 86 Radford Big South 78 .268 8 Southern California Pac-10 73 Stanford Pac-10 72 .275 9 Utah Valley State Ind 94 Gonzaga WCC 73 .276 10 St. Francis (Pa.) NEC 66 Duquesne Atl 10 54 .280 11 Indiana State MVC 77 Vanderbilt SEC 72 .284 12 Missouri Big 12 70 Oklahoma Big 12 64 .288 13 Wake Forest ACC 53 Texas A&M Big 12 46 .308 14 Washington Pac-10 74 California Pac-10 66 .313 15 Texas Southern SWAC 52 Oral Roberts Summit 48 .321 16 Florida A&M MEAC 71 Florida Gulf Coast Atl Sun 52 .324 17 Texas Christian Mtn West 97 Oklahoma State Big 12 63 .329
The schedules of all NCAA Division I teams were interconnected after the games of Friday, November 25, 2007.
Updated 9-April-2008.
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