
The Atlanta mayor's race is tighter than Dick's hatband.
The best guess at the moment is that Rodney Cook, Sam
Massell, Everett Millican and Horace Tate are going to divide the votes like
quartering a pie.
The pie could get lopsided if the voters ever get around
to making up their minds. Fresh surveys show that over 40 per cent of the
registered voters have not chosen up sides.
These same surveys also are beginning to indicate that
there are trends which need to be discussed realistically.
For most of the year, Massell had more decided voters
than anybody else. But the figures-and the impressions of knowledgeable
observers-indicate that he has slipped somewhat. Just how far, it is impossible
to say.
Massell's trouble probably is attributable to the fact
that he is trapped on some difficult issues.
Cook started last spring behind Massell and Charles
Weltner, who eventually chose not to run. He has made progress, the figures
indicate.
Whether that progress is enough to get him into the
runoff, only time will tell.
Millican obviously has been helped by the controversy
over police brutality and the melee in Piedmont Park. Figures are not available
which would indicate just how much they have improved his chances of making the
runoff.
It is clear, however, that he has run an aggressive
campaign that surprised some of his detractors.
Tate started with great appeal in the black community,
specifically because he is a Negro. But his campaign has suffered visibly from
a lack of funds and broad appeal.
For example, not one of the approximately 15 Negro
elected officials in Atlanta has endorsed him publicly. That means his appeal
is not as broad as observers first thought it would be.
Politicians hate these kinds of points like the devil
hates holy water. It is a cardinal rule that each candidate is able to maintain
a facade of pride and confidence.
Behind the facade, though, there are some frayed nerve
ends because of the problems discussed here.
None of this, incidentally, should be interpreted as an
expression of our own political preferences. We will make them known in due
time, concentrating on candidate stands on the substantive issues.
The two candidates who come up with 26 per cent of the
vote, rather than 24 per cent, are going to be in the runoff. So there still is
need for spirited campaigning.
There is a feeling in the air that any candidate who
could liven up the campaign with a little humor might find voters flocking to
him. That was the strength of William B. Hartsfield. Whenever the problems
began to bug him and his constituency, he would say something funny.
Once he was watching others campaign, and get
photographed as they made mistakes. Playing his wise-old-man role, Hartsfield
said, "Don't 'ever make a mistake that can be photographed."
This has not been the kind of campaign that can be
photographed. Instead, the shifts and the subtlety have been almost too smooth
for the eye to catch.